This is Mike Ferraro's second installment of 2012 position ranks. Today is running backs. Be sure to check back tomorrow for WR's, K, and team D.
Running Backs
1) Ray Rice, Baltimore Ravens: Rice has been a money running
back since his rookie season, he should get 1300-1400 yards rushing with a
dozen or so rushing touchdowns. Where Rice really pays off is in the receiving
game where he averages 70 catches a season and averages almost 10 yards per
catch.
2) Arian Foster, Houston Texans: The main concern with
Foster is if he can stay healthy. He will be a dominant back in both the rushing
and receiving games. You can’t go wrong with either Foster or Rice, either one
would make an excellent No. 1 pick in your fantasy league and a great play in our daily games.
3) LeSean McCoy- Philadelphia Eagles: McCoy was an absolute
fantasy beast last season with 17 rushing touchdowns and 1294 rushing yards.
This season he should have another great season but I don’t believe he will
have 17 rushing touchdowns, more like 12 and he wont get as many receptions as
Rice or Foster.
4) Chris Johnson, Tennessee Titans: Last season was Chris
Johnson’s worst season even though he still eclipsed 1000 yards rushing but did
so in the last game of the season. He should rush for a little over 1300 yards
and get at least 6 rushing touchdowns and is still a threat to get 30 to 40
receptions on the season.
5) Maurice-Jones Drew- Jacksonville Jaguars: Even though he
has missed all of preseason and training camp, and not starting week 1,
Maurice-Jones Drew is still a top five fantasy running back. He should easily
get 1200 yards rushing and have anywhere between 5-10 rushing touchdowns.
See the rest of the list after the jump!
See the rest of the list after the jump!
6) Matt Forte- Chicago Bears:
Forte was only three yards short of reaching 1000 yards last season and he will be valuable
in points per reception leagues as he should catch around 50 balls and he
averages around 10 yards a reception. He should get around 1100 yards rushing
with 5-10 rushing touchdowns but Michael Bush will vulture a lot of his rushing
touchdowns.
7) Marshawn Lynch, Seattle Seahawks: Lynch is not the
receiving threat that Forte, Rice, McCoy or Foster are but he is going to be the bulk
of the Seahawks offense. Lynch should get a little over a 1000 yards but will
have 10-plus rushing touchdowns. He is just a beast, just ask the New Orleans
Saints.
8) DeMarco Murray- Dallas Cowboys: When Murray went down in
week 14 against the Giants he had 895 yards rushing and wasn’t even the No.1
running back on the opening day roster. Expect Murray to easily eclipse 1000
yards rushing with anywhere from 5-10 rushing touchdowns as long as his leg
stays healthy. He should continue to be a threat in the passing game.
9) Darren McFadden, Oakland Raiders: McFadden’s weakness has
always been his ability to stay healthy. Expect him to have around 1000 yards
on the ground and haul in around 50 catches as long as he stays healthy.
McFadden as a ton of potential
10) Jamaal Charles, Kansas City Chiefs: Don’t plan on Jamaal
Charles to tear his ACL again and when healthy he is as good as they come.
Except Charles to rush for anywhere from 1100-1200 yards on the ground with
close to 40-50 receptions and he averages around 10 yards a catch.
11) Ryan Mathews, San Diego Chargers: A preseason collarbone injury should not make you shy away from Mathews; he should only
miss a week and you can draft a decent back for insurance. Once he returns
from injury expect Mathews to be the same running back as last season. He
should get around 1100 yards on the ground and catch around 40 passes.
12) Adrian Peterson, Minnesota
Vikings: Coming back from a torn ACL on Christmas Eve, Peterson should be a
steal in this year’s draft but I doubt that he will be ready for week 1.
Peterson has never finished under top 7 fantasy running backs and he will be a
steal this late if fantasy owners are willing to take the risk.
13) Trent Richardson, Cleveland Browns: There is a lot of
risk/reward with Richardson; fantasy owners of Peyton Hillis know that
Cleveland Browns running backs are not always the best choice. In the first few
weeks Richardson’s numbers will be a bit low but expect a spike around week 3
or 4. Richardson should have around 1200-1300 yards and a half dozen rushing
touchdowns.
14) Steven Jackson, St. Louis Rams: Jackson was the only
bright spot for an awful 2011 Rams team; he is a solid fantasy starter getting over 1100 yards rushing but his own downside is his lack of scoring
touchdowns. Jackson has only scored 16 touchdowns in the last three seasons
combined; McCoy had 17 rushing touchdowns alone last season.
15) Darren Sporles, New Orleans Saints: The New Orleans
Saints aren’t know for their rushing game but Sporles is a top 10 fantasy
running back in points per reception leagues. Sproles has tremendous upside but
will not get as many rushing yards or touchdowns. He had 86 receptions last
season and he has a tendency to get some important fantasy points in the
special teams area. Some receivers don’t even have 86 catches in a season but
Sporles is a great balance rushing and receiving threat.
16) Michael Turner, Atlanta Falcons: Even though Turner had
great numbers last season with over 1300 yards rushing and 11 rushing
touchdowns, he didn’t play particularly well anyone except the Bucs in week 17. Turner is now 30, the dreaded age of
running backs but still Turner should have around 1100 yards rushing and around
10 touchdowns this season.
17) Reggie Bush, Miami Dolphins: Bush is a real gamble
because he has the opportunity to be a huge fantasy star. Last season he posted
his first 1000-yard season but he only finished 18th in running back
targets. If Reggie Bush remains healthy he should be a steal in the later
rounds.
18) Ahmad Bradshaw, New York Giants: Bradshaw is another
question mark for a couple of reasons, his health and his offensive line. Last
season he rushed for 659 on 171 carries but suspect his numbers should get
anywhere from 800-1000 yards rushing this season if he remains healthy.
19) Frank Gore, San Francisco 49ers: Gore is a great running
back but he has been injury prone in his career. Gore should easily top the 1000-yard
mark but excpet him to lose a lot of touchdowns to Brandon Jacobs who will
likely vulture a lot of touchdowns away from Gore.
20) Fred Jackson, Buffalo Bills: Jackson was a fantasy surprise last season and has a ton of upside if Buffalo has a good
season. Jackson should top 1000 yards and haul in 40 or so receptions this
season. C.J. Spiller might be a fantasy vulture for Jackson but I believe
Buffalo can have two good fantasy running backs. It's Jackson’s job to
lose.
By: Mike Ferraro
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